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Cowen draws parallels between the current ETH/BTC price movement and those of 2016 and 2019. During both cycles, Ethereum showed similar behavior, printing a lower high before consolidating above its range lows and then breaking down. In 2016, it took seven weeks for the pair to bottom, while in 2019, it took eight weeks.
As of this cycle, Cowen notes that ETH/BTC broke its range low on July 22nd, meaning the pair has already spent eight weeks consolidating. This aligns with past cycle durations, leading Cowen to speculate that the bottom may be imminent.
At the time of writing, ETH/BTC is trading at 0.0405 BTC, equivalent to $2,544. While Cowen admits it's difficult to predict the exact bottom, he believes it could occur within the next week or so. Though Ethereum might go a little lower, Cowen cautions against expecting a significant further decline.