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Ajay Agarwal
Jul 29, 2025

Stellar (XLM) at Risk of Crash After Losing Key 10-Day Support

xlm at risk of crash
Stellar (XLM) is currently facing significant downside risk, as the cryptocurrency has breached a crucial support level, raising concerns among investors and analysts. The primary indicator of this potential shift is XLM's recent drop below its 10-day simple moving average (SMA), a level that had previously acted as a strong foundation during its July rally. This loss of support suggests a weakening in buying momentum and a potential transition towards a short-term downtrend.

Technical Indicators Point to Bearish Shift

The bearish sentiment is further reinforced by several key technical indicators. The candle that broke the 10-day SMA closed with notably higher selling volume compared to previous sessions, indicating increased selling pressure. Chart analyst Ali Martinez underscored the bearish implications of XLM trading below this moving average.

Adding to the concerns, the Bull-Bear Power (BBP) indicator has turned negative, registering a value of -0.0182, with the formation of red bars signaling that sellers are gaining control and market momentum has cooled. If the BBP continues to remain below the zero line, it could foreshadow sustained downward pressure on XLM's price.

Critical Price Levels to Watch

As of press time, XLM is trading at $0.43, having experienced an almost 6% decline on the day and an approximate 8% drop over the past seven days. While some analysts, such as Javon Marks, maintain an optimistic outlook for substantial upside if key resistance levels are overcome, others, like Peter Brandt, advise caution. Brandt emphasizes that XLM must hold above its April low of approximately $0.22 and decisively close above $1 to avoid remaining trapped in a prolonged range-bound movement. The price zone between $0.42 and $0.45 is identified as a critical decision point; a strong push above $0.45, backed by significant volume, could propel XLM back towards $0.50, whereas failure to do so might lead to further selling pressure.

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