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Ajay Agarwal
Jul 1, 2025

Altcoin ETF Wave Looms: Bloomberg Analysts Boost Approval Odds to 95% for Solana, Litecoin, XRP

altcoin etf
The cryptocurrency market is abuzz with heightened anticipation as leading Bloomberg ETF analysts, James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas, have significantly raised the approval odds for spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) tracking Solana (SOL), Litecoin (LTC), and XRP. Their latest assessment puts the probability of these altcoin ETFs getting the green light from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) at 95% or higher for 2025, signaling a pivotal shift in the regulatory landscape.

Regulatory Progress and Key Signals

This surge in confidence stems from increased and positive engagement between ETF issuers and the SEC. The regulatory body has been actively working with applicants, including requesting crucial amendments to S-1 filings for various altcoin ETFs. For Solana specifically, the SEC’s requests for updated filings indicate a deeper review and potential readiness for approval. Furthermore, the launch of a US-listed Solana staking ETF by REX Osprey signals a growing comfort from regulators with products incorporating yield-generating mechanisms, which was previously a sticking point for Ethereum ETFs. Litecoin's long-standing status, often referred to as "digital silver" and recognized as a commodity by the CFTC, continues to bolster its case for approval.

Broader Market Implications and Timeline

The optimism isn't limited to these three. Bloomberg analysts also project a 90% chance of approval for spot ETFs tied to other major altcoins such as Dogecoin, Cardano, Polkadot, Hedera, and Avalanche. While the final SEC deadlines for Solana, Litecoin, and XRP ETFs are slated for October, there's speculation that a crypto basket or index ETF could see approval even sooner, potentially setting a precedent for individual altcoin products. Should these approvals materialize, they would unlock substantial institutional and retail capital, providing regulated access to a wider array of digital assets and potentially ushering in a robust "altcoin ETF summer."

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