Ethereum’s long-term holder ratio rose from 59% to 75% over the past year, contrasting Bitcoin’s decline from 70% to 62%. This shift indicates increasing confidence in Ethereum’s long-term potential as a foundational asset for the crypto economy.
The upcoming Trump presidency, starting January 2025, is expected to favor cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum, particularly as the second-largest crypto ETF in the U.S. market. Technically, Ethereum’s inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on the 6-month chart suggests a potential breakout. Analysts project that surpassing the $3,500 resistance could liquidate over $1 billion in short positions, potentially driving prices to $12,000.
However, risks persist. ETH struggles to maintain momentum above $3,500, with monthly charts showing an 8.4% decline. Still, analysts point to positive futures market indicators, such as healthy funding rates, suggesting consolidation may be temporary.
Conservative estimates from VanEck place Ethereum at $6,000, while CoinCodex projects peaks of $6,659 and $6,420 in spring and fall, respectively. Bullish analysts foresee highs of $12,000 if technical patterns hold. With potential for 100% returns, Ethereum’s current price presents a promising entry point for investors, albeit with caution due to market volatility.