The bank predicts gold prices will reach $2,910 per ounce by the end of this year, supported by safe-haven buying and continued demand from central banks.
Goldman Sachs analysts Lina Thomas and Daan Struyven noted that higher central bank purchases will play a pivotal role in sustaining gold prices. They project an average monthly purchase of 38 tons through mid-2026.
“Conflicting factors have kept gold prices in a narrow range,” the analysts explained. While speculative buying has slowed, central bank purchases have compensated for the reduced demand from exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Gold’s 27% surge last year was fueled by U.S. monetary easing and inflation concerns, but the rally cooled in November after a dollar boost from Donald Trump’s reelection. Goldman now expects the Federal Reserve to implement rate cuts totaling 75 basis points in 2025, a reduction from its earlier forecast of 100 basis points.
The bank also sees inflation pressures easing slightly, with underlying inflation expected to decline. Analysts believe Trump’s second-term policies are unlikely to trigger higher interest rates, offering further stability for gold prices.